CCalcBOX
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Lottery Simulator

Visualize lottery odds with Monte Carlo simulation. Expected value and investment comparison.

Lottery Type

Year-End Jumbo1st Prize: ¥700,000,000 (1/20,000,000)Ticket: ¥300

Purchase Settings

¥
1 yr25 yrs50 yrs
120 tickets/year × 30 years = 3,600 tickets (¥1,080,000)

Expected Value Analysis

Total Spent
¥1,080,000
Expected Return
¥558,000
Expected Loss
¥522,000
Return Rate
51.7%
Return rate per ticket
51.7%
(avg ¥155 back per ¥300 ticket)
Lifetime expected loss
520K
over 30 years
Expected years until jackpot
About 170K years

If You Invested That Money Instead

¥2,391,799
¥36,000/year at 5% return for 30 years
Guaranteed growth vs lottery gamble: ¥1,833,799

Monte Carlo Simulation

Simulate 3,600 tickets across 3,000 trials to see realistic outcomes.

Visualizing the Odds

Each dot = 1 ticket out of 10,000. The highlighted dot(s) represent winning.(Actual odds are 1 in 20,000,000 — even harder than shown!)

Can you find the single red dot? That is your chance of winning.

Buying monthly for 30 years, your lifetime jackpot chance: 0.018%

Fun Facts

The odds of being struck by lightning in a year are about 1 in 1,000,000. Winning the jackpot is 20× harder.

📅

Buying monthly, it would take an average of 166,667 years to hit the jackpot.

💰

The return rate of most lotteries is about 45-50%. For every ¥1,000 spent, you can expect to get back about ¥450-500 on average.

About this tool

This simulator shows the mathematical reality of lottery odds using expected value calculations and Monte Carlo simulations. It is for educational and entertainment purposes only.

Prize amounts and odds are approximate and based on publicly available information. Actual lottery rules may vary.

📖How to Use
  1. 1Select a lottery type (Year-End Jumbo, Loto 6, Loto 7, Scratch Card, etc.)
  2. 2Set purchase frequency and amount per session
  3. 3Run the simulation to see expected value, win probability, and comparison with investing
💡Tips & Knowledge
  • The Year-End Jumbo jackpot odds are about 1 in 20 million. Buying one ticket weekly, you'd wait ~380,000 years on average
  • Compared to investing the same amount at 5% annually, lottery expected returns are less than half
  • Loto 6/7 let you choose numbers and have better odds than Jumbo, but smaller prizes

🔗 Related Tools

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